{"id":840,"date":"2024-10-13T13:42:14","date_gmt":"2024-10-13T10:42:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/?p=840"},"modified":"2024-10-13T14:27:06","modified_gmt":"2024-10-13T11:27:06","slug":"temel-analiz-kavramlari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/2024\/10\/13\/temel-analiz-kavramlari\/","title":{"rendered":"Temel Analiz Kavramlar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tA\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Hareketli Ortalama (WMA):<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Hareketli Ortalama (WMA), basit hareketli ortalamaya (SMA) benzer, ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer WMA ‘n\u0131n yeni veri noktalar\u0131na daha \u00e7ok \u00f6nem vermesidir. D\u00f6nem i\u00e7indeki her noktaya, o belirli veri noktas\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 veya \u00f6nemini de\u011fi\u015ftiren bir \u00e7arpan (en yeni veri noktas\u0131 i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7arpan ve s\u0131rayla azal\u0131r) atan\u0131r.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tATR Ortalama Ger\u00e7ek Aral\u0131k<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Ortalama Ger\u00e7ek Aral\u0131k (ATR), J. Welles Wilder taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilen ATR indikat\u00f6r\u00fc fiyatlar\u0131n hareketlili\u011fini \u00f6l\u00e7mek amac\u0131yla olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tADX Average Directional Index<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

ADX (Average Directional Index): ADX, trendin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc belirten bir g\u00f6stergedir. ADX de\u011feri ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck ise trend de o kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc demektir. ADX, sadece piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n tutup tutmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtir, hangi y\u00f6nde hareket edece\u011fi hakk\u0131nda bilgi vermez.<\/p>


ADX, DI+ ve DI- ile g\u00f6sterilen y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimin g\u00f6reli g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn bir g\u00f6stergesini sa\u011flar. Okumak i\u00e7in grafikte bir de\u011fer g\u00f6steren eksene bak\u0131n. Genel olarak, 25\u2019in \u00fczerindeki bir ADX de\u011feri, e\u011filimin nispeten g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterir. 20\u2019nin alt\u0131ndaki bir de\u011fer, e\u011filimin zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu veya piyasalar\u0131n yatay i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterir. Piyasalar\u0131n bir oynakl\u0131k d\u00f6nemi ge\u00e7irmesi de s\u00f6z konusu olabilir ve ADX her iki y\u00f6nde de net bir e\u011filim g\u00f6steremeyebilir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBasit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA)<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Bir finansal \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn, belirlenen d\u00f6nem i\u00e7erisindeki g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 al\u0131narak hesaplan\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin; 7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama = \u00dcr\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 7 g\u00fcn boyunca toplan\u0131p, 7’ye b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesi ile elde edilir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tDestek Diren\u00e7 Noktalar\u0131<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Tepeler di\u011fer tepelerin alt\u0131nda ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendidir.<\/p>


Dipler y\u00fckselerek gidiyorsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendidir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tDirectional Movement Index (DMI), Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Hareket Endeksi<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Directional Movement Index (DMI), yani Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Hareket Endeksi, traderlar taraf\u0131ndan piyasadaki bir y\u00fckseli\u015f veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc belirlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan teknik bir indikat\u00f6rd\u00fcr.<\/p>


DMI, DI+ ile g\u00f6sterilen Art\u0131 Y\u00f6n \u0130ndikat\u00f6r\u00fc (Pozitif Y\u00f6n \u0130ndikat\u00f6r\u00fc olarak da adland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r) ve DI- ile temsil edilen Eksi Y\u00f6n \u0130ndikat\u00f6r\u00fc (Negatif Y\u00f6n \u0130ndikat\u00f6r\u00fc olarak da adland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r) olmak \u00fczere iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc endeksten olu\u015fur. DI+ \u00e7izgisi DI- \u2018nin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funda, piyasalar y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminde demektir. Tersine, DI- \u00e7izgisi DI+ \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funda, piyasalar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimindedir. \u00c7izgiler tekrarlanan kesi\u015fmeler g\u00f6sterdi\u011finde, piyasalar karars\u0131zd\u0131r ve fiyatlar nispeten yatay i\u015flem g\u00f6rmektedir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tErgodik<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Ergodik teoremi, bir sistemin zamanla ortalama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir matematiksel teoremdir. Bu teoremin temel prensibi, bir sistemde belirli bir s\u00fcre boyunca g\u00f6zlem yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, t\u00fcm olas\u0131 durumlar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Ergodik teoremi, istatistik ve termodinamik gibi bir\u00e7ok disiplinde kullan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>

Bu teoreme g\u00f6re, bir sistemin uzun vadeli davran\u0131\u015f\u0131, rastgele bir zaman dilimi boyunca g\u00f6zlem yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda elde edilen ortalama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r. Bu nedenle, bir sistemin t\u00fcm olas\u0131 durumlar\u0131 e\u015fit olarak g\u00f6zlemleyebilmesi gerekti\u011fi varsay\u0131l\u0131r. Finansal analizde, bir varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n fiyat hareketlerini analiz etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca, karma\u015f\u0131k sistemlerde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik, kaos teorisi ve istatistiksel mekani\u011fin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesinde de kullan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>

Sonu\u00e7 olarak, ergodik teoremi, bir sistemin istatistiksel \u00f6zelliklerini analiz etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan bir matematiksel teoremdir. Bu teori, bir\u00e7ok disiplinde uygulamalar\u0131 vard\u0131r ve sistemin zamanla ortalama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n hesaplanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli varsay\u0131mlar i\u00e7erir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tHacim \u0130ndikat\u00f6r\u00fc<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Diplerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fcksek hacimler d\u00fc\u015fme trendinin k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, zirvelerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fcksek hacimler ise art\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tHareketli ortalama<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Hareketli ortalama, n tane fiyat\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131narak hesaplanan bir g\u00f6stergedir. Hareketli ortalamalar trend takibi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge olarak kabul edilmektedir. Bunun sebebi ise hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyat hareketlerinden olu\u015fmas\u0131ndand\u0131r.<\/p>

Hareketli ortalamalar destek ve diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesinde de yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmaktad\u0131rlar. \u00d6rne\u011fin; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya g\u00f6re daha a\u011f\u0131r hareket etmekte ve daha gecikmeli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc belirtmektedir.<\/p>

K\u0131sa vadeli hareketli ortalamalar k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131lmakta olup uzun vadeli hareketli ortalamalar ise uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>

Hareketli Ortalama T\u00fcrleri:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA)
\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA),
A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Hareketli Ortalama (WMA)
Hull Hareketli Ortalamad\u0131r (HMA)<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tHull Hareketli Ortalamad\u0131r (HMA):<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Hull, hareketli ortalamadaki gecikme sorununu \u00e7\u00f6zmenin bir yolunu ararken ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ba\u015fka bir deyi\u015fle, bir hisse senedinin veya emtian\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren grafi\u011fi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca a\u00e7\u0131k ve g\u00fcncel tutarken, ortalama fiyat\u0131 temsil eden \u00e7izginin hala d\u00fczg\u00fcn oldu\u011fundan emin olmak istedi. Bunu yapmak i\u00e7in kendi \u00f6zel arac\u0131 olan G\u00f6vde Hareketli Ortalama g\u00f6stergesini yaratt\u0131.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u0130ndikat\u00f6r<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Piyasada bulunan mevcut ortam\u0131 belirlemek ve gelecekte ortaya \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek bulunan fiyatlar\u0131n devinimlerini ortaya \u00e7\u0131karmak ad\u0131na kullan\u0131lan istatistiksel bir ara\u00e7t\u0131r.<\/p>


\u0130ndikat\u00f6rler belirli bir matematik de\u011feri ile hesaplama yaparlar. Bu y\u00fczden genel ekonomiyi, piyasalar\u0131 bilmez ve trendleri takip edemezler. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte olan grafikte, kademe d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan hacimli al\u0131mlar\u0131 yani s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131 sinyal zanneder ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir al\u0131n verir.<\/p>


\u0130\u015fte bizim buralarda ekonomi ve g\u00fcncel durumla karar vermemiz gerekir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tKaufman Hareketli Ortalanmas\u0131<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Hareketli ortamla indikat\u00f6r\u00fcd\u00fcr. G\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131 di\u011fer indikat\u00f6rlerle ayn\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r.
E\u011fer grafikler \u00e7izginin alt\u0131nda ise fiyatlar yukar\u0131 gidecektir.
Grafiklerin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferse fiyatlar da d\u00fc\u015fecektir.<\/p>

\u00c7izginin grafi\u011fe de\u011fdi\u011fi noktalar iyi bir destek ve diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131d\u0131r. Bolinger bantlar\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131ndaki \u00e7izgi, Kaufman \u00e7izgisi ayn\u0131 noktalara geliyorsa bu noktalar \u0130Y\u0130 B\u0130R D\u0130REN\u00c7 veya DESTEK NOKTASIDIR:<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tMum Grafikleri<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Her mum bir zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Ay, Hafta, Saat, Dakika gibi.
Mumlar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcndeki veya alt\u0131ndaki \u00e7izgiler, zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyat\u0131n u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 noktay\u0131, mumlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131 ve sonu ise zaman\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki (g\u00fcn-hafta) en y\u00fcksek ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyat\u0131 belirtir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tMedyan<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Medyan: Ortadaki say\u0131; t\u00fcm veri noktalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131ralayarak ve ortadakini se\u00e7erek (veya ortada iki say\u0131 varsa, bunlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 alarak) bulunur. \u00d6rnek: 4, 1 ve 7’nin medyan\u0131 4’t\u00fcr; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc say\u0131lar s\u0131raland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda (1, 4, 7) ortadaki say\u0131 4’t\u00fcr.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tOsilat\u00f6r<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Osilat\u00f6rler, borsa grafikleri \u00fczerinde fiyatlar\u0131n yatay bantta hareket etti\u011fi ve hen\u00fcz bir trend olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 zamanlarda d\u00fczeltme seviyelerini tespit edebilen g\u00f6stergelerdir. Bu nedenle, \u00f6zellikle piyasan\u0131n belirsiz oldu\u011fu zamanlarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan s\u0131k\u00e7a kullan\u0131l\u0131r. \u0130ndikat\u00f6rler, genellikle borsa grafiklerindeki fiyat hareketlerini analiz etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan matematiksel form\u00fcllerdir. Osilat\u00f6rler de bir t\u00fcr indikat\u00f6rd\u00fcr ve genellikle sinyaller \u00fcretirler. Bu sinyaller, s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisi veya belirlenen referans aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re de\u011ferlendirilir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tRS\u0130 G\u00f6receli (Relatif) G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi <\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

G\u00f6receli (Relatif) G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI), ilgili periyoddaki kapan\u0131\u015f de\u011ferlerini periyodun bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f de\u011ferleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak hesaplanan k\u0131sa ve orta vadeli trendin y\u00f6n\u00fc hakk\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcde bulunmay\u0131 sa\u011flayan bir indikat\u00f6rd\u00fcr. Fiyat grafi\u011fi ile RSI aras\u0131nda uyumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm vard\u0131r.
RSI indikat\u00f6r\u00fc, \u00f6zellikle k\u0131sa vadeli piyasa analizlerinde daha da \u00f6nemli hale b\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>


RSI de\u011feri ile ilgili bu tip sorular, finansal piyasalarda i\u015flem yapan pek \u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n akl\u0131n\u0131 kurcalar. Genel olarak kabul g\u00f6ren RSI de\u011feri, 30 ile 70 aras\u0131d\u0131r. RSI de\u011ferinin 30\u2019un alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi hali a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m (oversold) b\u00f6lgesi olarak ifade edilir ve trendin yukar\u0131 do\u011fru hareketlenebilece\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumlan\u0131r (al sinyali).<\/p>

RSI 70\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 hali ise a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m (overbougt) b\u00f6lgesi olarak ifade edilir ve trendin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya do\u011fru d\u00f6nebilece\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumlan\u0131r (sat sinyali).
Analistler taraf\u0131ndan da genellikle 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131l\u0131r. Elbette daha uzun vadeli RSI hesaplamas\u0131 yapmak teknik olarak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr, ancak baz al\u0131nan periyot uzad\u0131k\u00e7a, g\u00f6stergelerin fiyat hareketlerine daha az duyarl\u0131 hale gelece\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>

Daha k\u0131sa vadeyi temel alan RSI de\u011feri, fiyat hareketlerine daha fazla duyarl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131ndan daha do\u011fru teknik analiz sinyali \u00fcretir.<\/p>

RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerini g\u00f6sterir. 30\u2019un alt\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m,70 \u2018in \u00fcst\u00fc a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesidir.<\/p>


25 civar\u0131nda al\u0131m yap\u0131larak uzun vadede hisselerin y\u00fckselece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcr.
40-60 aras\u0131 hacimli al\u0131m varsa hissenin y\u00fckselece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcr.
20\u2019lerden al\u0131n\u0131rsa uzun vadede y\u00fcksek kar, 40-50\u2019lerden al\u0131n\u0131rsa k\u0131sa adede daha az kar beklenir.<\/p>

Destek-Diren\u00e7 ve formasyonlar (Omuz ba\u015f, bayrak) RSI i\u00e7erisinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tStokastik Movment Index (SMI)<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Stokastik osilat\u00f6r\u00fc, kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131n belirli bir d\u00f6nem i\u00e7inde en y\u00fcksek-en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlara uzakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7erken, SMI g\u00f6stergesi +\/- 100 de\u011ferleri aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fen ve kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131n belirlenen d\u00f6nem i\u00e7indeki en y\u00fcksek ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyat\u0131n belirledi\u011fi orta noktan\u0131n g\u00f6receli olarak ne kadar alt\u0131nda ya da \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir Kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 e\u011fer belirlenen d\u00f6nem i\u00e7indeki en y\u00fcksek ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ise SMI de\u011feri pozitif, aksi halde negatiftir. Kritik b\u00f6lgeler al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>

Her ne kadar net bir seviye belirtilmemi\u015fse de \u00f6rne\u011fin SMI -40’\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyip sonra bu seviyeyi yukar\u0131 kesti\u011finde al\u0131m yap\u0131larak, +40 seviyesini yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7tikten sonra yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kesti\u011finde de sat\u0131\u015f yap\u0131labilir. Fakat piyasada trend hakimse, yani net bir art\u0131\u015f trendi veya net bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi varsa, bu g\u00f6stergeyi bu \u015fekilde kullanmak faydal\u0131 sonu\u00e7 vermeyebilir.<\/p>

Genel olarak yatay piyasalarda daha ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7 vermektedir. Di\u011fer bir kullan\u0131m\u0131 ise SMI g\u00f6stergesi sinyal \u00e7izgisini yukar\u0131 kesti\u011finde al\u0131m yap\u0131p, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kesti\u011finde ise sat\u0131\u015f yapmakt\u0131r. Bu tekni\u011fe g\u00f6re al-sat yaparken yine dikkat etmeniz gereken nokta, piyasan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir trend i\u00e7inde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>

E\u011fer yukar\u0131 trend g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ise erken satt\u0131racakt\u0131r. E\u011fer a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trend g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ise erken ald\u0131racakt\u0131r. Ayk\u0131r\u0131l\u0131klara g\u00f6re al\u0131m sat\u0131m bu g\u00f6sterge i\u00e7in de ge\u00e7erlidir. Fiyatlar yukar\u0131 giderken g\u00f6sterge a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 gidiyor veya daha \u00f6nceki tepesini ge\u00e7emiyorsa bir sat sinyalidir. Fiyatlar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giderken, g\u00f6sterge tersine yukar\u0131 gidiyorsa bu da bir al sinyalidir.<\/p>

G\u00f6stergeyi geli\u015ftirmi\u015f olan Blau e\u011fer SMI de\u011ferleri 1,100,100 olarak al\u0131n\u0131rsa yani 1 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMI ve bunun 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck yumu\u015fat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ortalamalar\u0131 al\u0131n\u0131rsa, bu e\u011frinin o s\u0131rada piyasan\u0131n trendi konusunda net bir fikir verece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftir. Bu e\u011frinin yukar\u0131 do\u011fru hareket ediyor olmas\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckselen trend, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru hareket ediyor olmas\u0131 ise g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini sinyal vermi\u015f olacakt\u0131r.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tTepe Noktas\u0131 Dip Noktas\u0131<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Tepe noktas\u0131n\u0131n sol ve sa\u011f\u0131nda iki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck mum olmal\u0131d\u0131r.
Dip noktas\u0131n\u0131n sol ve sa\u011f\u0131nda iki y\u00fcksek mum olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tTrend <\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

Teknik analizde “trend” fiyatlar\u0131n belirli bir y\u00f6nde (y\u00fckseli\u015f, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f veya yatay) belirli bir d\u00f6nem boyunca izledi\u011fi genel e\u011filimi ifade eder.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/path><\/svg><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA)<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t

\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA), bir menkul k\u0131ymetin fiyat\u0131n\u0131n belirli bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steren teknik bir g\u00f6stergedir. Temelde, belirlenen d\u00f6nem i\u00e7erisindeki fiyat hareketlerinin ortalamas\u0131 al\u0131n\u0131r ama hesaplama yap\u0131l\u0131rken yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemdeki fiyat hareketlerine daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verilir.<\/p>

\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama, kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7arpanla \u00e7arp\u0131m\u0131na, art\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn\u00fcn EMA ‘s\u0131na ve ard\u0131ndan \u00e7arpan\u0131n 1 eksi\u011fiyle \u00e7arp\u0131m\u0131na e\u015fittir.<\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Hareketli Ortalama (WMA): A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Hareketli Ortalama (WMA), basit hareketli ortalamaya (SMA) benzer, ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer WMA ‘n\u0131n yeni veri noktalar\u0131na daha \u00e7ok \u00f6nem vermesidir. D\u00f6nem i\u00e7indeki her noktaya, o belirli veri noktas\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 veya \u00f6nemini de\u011fi\u015ftiren bir \u00e7arpan (en yeni veri noktas\u0131 i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7arpan ve s\u0131rayla azal\u0131r) atan\u0131r. ATR Ortalama Ger\u00e7ek Aral\u0131k Ortalama […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":858,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"2","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"left-sidebar","sidebar":"stock-sticker","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"0","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"0","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"0","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","override_template":"1"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"128"},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[127,128],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-egitim","category-sozluk"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/840","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=840"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/840\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":855,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/840\/revisions\/855"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/858"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=840"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=840"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/longshortliners.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=840"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}